The Receipts
TRACK RECORD
Every prediction we make is scored in public, including the ones that missed. A number you can audit beats a score you can't.
LIVE WEEKEND CALLS
Weekly box office predictions published before the weekend, scored after it.
| Weekend | Film | Called | Actual | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | Clayface | $-M | $24.0M | nailed it |
| 2026-10-16 | Street Fighter | $-M | $30.8M | nailed it |
| 2026-10-09 | Other Mommy | $-M | $27.8M | nailed it |
| 2026-10-02 | Digger | $-M | $8.0M | overestimated |
| 2026-09-18 | Resident Evil | $-M | $60.2M | underestimated |
| 2026-09-11 | Practical Magic 2 | $-M | $30.0M | nailed it |
| 2026-08-14 | The End of Oak Street | $-M | $21.0M | close (under) |
| 2026-07-31 | Spider-Man: Brand New Day | $-M | $360.1M | underestimated |
Full weekly reflections, including our own post-mortems, live at /intelligence/reflections.
THE SCORE SPREAD
Master scores across 1,499 graded screenplays. Most coverage services cluster their scores in a polite middle. Ours use the whole dial, because the math has no reason to flatter anyone.
THE 25-YEAR BACKTEST
Our 1,000-agent audience simulation, run against 7,291 releases from 2000-2025. We publish the hit rate instead of cherry-picking the wins.
Yes, comedy is hard. The model knows it, and now you know the model knows it.
PUT YOUR SCRIPT ON THE SCALE
The same math that produced every number on this page runs on your screenplay, in your browser, in seconds.